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Baillieu is going to get thumped at the next election

Posted by: Justin Smith | 4 January, 2013 - 8:37 AM
Ted Baillieu

Ted Baillieu is going to get thumped at the next election.

There are some polling figures out today in the Australian that will be enough to ruin the Premier’s holidays.

The Coalition’s bad run continues. Two-party preferred polling is at 45 per cent, up against Labor’s 55 per cent, which has not changed from the last lot of figures in September/October. Just another lot of numbers in a very fast decline since he took power.

The Premier's personal rating is a little better at 33 per cent, up from 31 per cent, but that figure is appalling and here’s why.

The man he’s up against has had little to no impact as opposition leader. Daniel Andrews' job performance number is 32. So he has no real competition, and yet he still can’t sell his message, sell himself, or sell the party.

He has a cabinet full of ambitious young men, and they don’t really care what the personal performance rating is of the boss. They don’t want to lose the next election, they’re just starting to get a handle on their jobs, starting to learn what it’s like to be a minister.

The thought of going back to the wilderness of opposition, or worse, lose their seat entirely, will be their motivation to kick the boss.

Ted Baillieu is in for a 2013 of meetings and internal polling; 12 months of being told he’s not doing enough. He’ll hate it, and it will show.

The next election is November 2014. At this rate neither Ted Baillieu nor Daniel Andrews will be Premier.

There is somebody smart and ambitious waiting to be the next Premier of Victoria. There is somebody who wants it and will plan to take it. Who is it?

From the government: Matthew Guy, fresh in the face and cunning; But in the Upper House, Michael O’Brien, keen on publicity; and Robert Clark, older and loved by Liberals.

Or from Labor: Tim Holding seems like he’s been waiting for the job for years; Tim Pallas, well-liked and knows how the party works; and James Merlino, ambitious but need some mates.

On the polling figures, the next Premier is not a leader yet. They have a couple of years to turn themselves into one.

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Blog comments Your Say

  • Baillieu has done more in 2 years than the previous mob did in 12 years.

    jason Wednesday 9 January, 2013 - 4:24 PM
  • Labor received huge GST revenue and record stamp duty income during their 12 years and yet Victorian roads and rail systems were left to rot. All of that money was wasted on smart meters, Myki and an oversized desal plant. All of them cost taxpayers 3 times what we were told. The only decent road built was to allow people in Ringwood to visit Frankston beach. Even this road was a broken promise. Yep Ted has no appeal, but he also has Wayne Swan cutting revenue daily in Victoria in pursuit of a surplus. Yep let's also throw the state's economy in the hands of Daniel Andrews and Tim Holding....can't wait.

    Graham T Wednesday 9 January, 2013 - 4:22 PM
  • Ken of Euroa, hang on Ken the desal and Myki came out of the even more inept Labor Government. How do you work out that Ted is responsible for them? Ted is tardy I agree but Labor in office were their usual borrowing, spending, wasting incompetent selves. As usual they left a mess of unparalleled proportions.

    saxon Wednesday 9 January, 2013 - 3:20 PM
  • If we had real journalists that wrote about projects initiated by governments instead of chasing personal dirt all the time we would have a much clearer picture on how governments are performing. Governments are not just one person.

    George Wednesday 9 January, 2013 - 12:08 PM
  • @Mary G. If it wasn't for the property developers there wouldn't be a crane on the Melbourne skyline. The State Government sure ain't going to start building anything. :p

    mylene Wednesday 9 January, 2013 - 10:36 AM
  • Ted Ballieu is exactly how i like state government too work. SEEN BUT NOT HEARD. Unlike labor who love to beat chests and scream out "look at me" Too bad the councils cant be more like Ted.

    Crikeym8 Monday 7 January, 2013 - 9:14 AM

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